Professor Emeritus, Economics
Office: Plaza 449
905-688-5550 x3578
[email protected]
Research Summary
My areas of research have been statistical analysis of climate change and the need for adaptation policies for infrastructure over the next 50 years. In 2023 Canada adopted a National Adaptation Strategy which is now being implemented. One major impact of climate change has been and will continue to be on water resources, affecting seasonal quantity and quality. Across the North American continent, adapting all water and other infrastructure to climate change will require major investments. It could also lead to conflicts; the variation in the availability of water could lead to a new threat: the unilateral acquisition by the US of Canadian Great Lakes waters through the existing ‘Chicago Diversion.’ The further melting in the Arctic will increase shipping and military activity and bring more environmental damage to ecosystems in the North. This new development is now part of my current research.
Geologists have suggested that the global degradation of our planet defines the start of the Anthropocene Epoch and the end of the Holocene Epoch. The evidence for this claim has been well established through geological sediment core samples taken over the world, including at Crawford Lake, Canada. The date proposed for that change is 1952. However, the International Union of Geological Sciences has yet to endorse that date. Our 2026 paper in the Anthropocene Review statistically corroborates 1952 as the start of the new epoch by examining statistical time series data from the air, the oceans and land, and it sums up a great deal of environmental change. Adding the Anthropocene epoch to the Geologic Time Scale (and marking the end of the Holocene Epoch) draws increased attention to environmental conditions that require global action, including the reduction of fossil fuel use and accelerate the transition to the use of renewable energy. However, new impacts, such as slowing ocean currents and the slowing of the earth’s rotation, are still being researched by scientists. Their combined impacts are yet not fully known.
Education
D. Phil. (Economics), Nuffield College, University of Oxford (1975)
M. Phil. (Economics), Nuffield College, University of Oxford (1972)
B.A. (with Distinction in Economics and Mathematics), University of Zambia (1969)
- Appointed to Standards Council of Canada, Canadian Advisory Committee tnternational Standards Organization, TC 251 – Asset Management, January 2011-2014. (Developing a standard for Asset management for Infrastructure such as water).
- Brock University Distinguished Research Award for 2002.
Global Environmental Studies; global climate change, adaptation and mitigation policies, including sustainable forestry; climate change impacts on water resources; drinking water management; sustainable development; macroeconomic stability and financial regulation.
Global Drinking Water Management and Conservation, Springer International Switzerland, 2015
Water Policy in Canada, Springer International Switzerland, 2015.
The Macroeconomics of Business Cycles: a Comparative Evaluation, NY: Basil Blackwell, 1993. Japanese translation published by Bunka Shobou Hakubunsha, Tokyo, 1995.
Edited book: Global Environmental Economics, Cambridge, Mass: Basil Blackwell, 1999.
BOOK-LENGTH REPORT: The Cost of Adaptation to Climate Change in Canada: A Stratified Estimate by Sectors and Regions. Social Infrastructure, April 17, 2001. In: [PDF] The Costs of Adaptation to Climate Change in Canada: A Stratified Estimate by Sectors and Regions by MHI Dore, I Burton.
For full information, download my CV.
- “Understanding the end of the Holocene: a non-parametric statistical approach.” (with Manuel R. Marin, & F.M. McCarthy). The Anthropocene Review, 2026, pp. 1-23. This is a statistical analysis of several time series to find the best evidence to determine when the Holocene ended. The analysis supports 1952 as the start of the epoch. https://doi.org/10.1177/20530196261438442
- “Informational asymmetries in US private equity: regulation in changing regulatory environment,” (with Ernest N. Biktimirov). Journal of Financial Regulation and Compliance. June 2025. 1358-1988.
- “Detecting and quantifying structural breaks in climate.” (Co-authored with Neil R. Ericsson and Hassan Butt). Econometrics 10, no. 4 (2022): 33. This work is cited within the niche of climate econometrics, specifically regarding time-series analysis of climate data.
- “Projecting financial capability in small Canadian drinking water treatment systems.” (With Janzen, Aaron, Gopal Achari, and Cooper H. Langford.) Journal‐American Water Works Association 109, no. 10 (2017): E440-E451.
- “Performance Management of Small Water Treatment Plant Operations: A Decision Support System” (with Gopal Achari, Stein, Haider, Sadiq, & Langford), Water and Environment Journal, 2017, 31 (3), pp.330-344.
- “A permutation entropy-based test for causality: The volume-stock price relation,” (with Mariano Matilla, Manuel Ruiz). PHYSICA A, (2014), 398, pp. 280-288.
- “The changing pattern of precipitation at the Sooke reservoir in British Columbia.” (with M. Ruiz and M. Matilla), in in Atlantic Economic Journal, 2013, 41 (2), pp.97-113.
